Simplufy · Effective 25 September 2026
Risk disclosure
Betting risk
Betting can lose money, including all of your stake. Only bet what you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, contact a problem-gambling helpline such as 1-800-GAMBLER.
Arbitrage is theoretical
An arbitrage shown by quant+ assumes every leg is placed at the displayed price. Prices move, limits apply, bets can be voided, and venues settle differently. Any of these can leave you with a one-sided position.
Fair value and EV are estimates
Fair prices come from removing the margin from other books' prices. Different methods give different answers, and all of them can be wrong. Positive expected value is an estimate, not a result.
Data can be wrong
Prices come from third-party screens and may be delayed, stale, or mismatched. Check the price at the venue before you act.
Models and backtests
Backtests use historical data and assumptions that may not hold. A model that did well in the past can fail in the future.